Yesterday saw an abrupt drop of the wind velocity at some La Ventana sensors around 2:30 PM. This fade nicely illustrates the importance of heat in the Los Planes Valley. Below is my forecast for yesterday which mentions the possibility of this happening. This satellite imagery shows the massive clouds to our north and the…
If the multimodel ensemble forecast for spare clouds today, Wednesday, Nov. 30, is correct we should see good heating in the Los Planes Valley inland of La Ventana. This heating is critical to get the winds to the beach since most of our large scale breeeze today is NNW wind from the North Pacific High…
The banner above shows what the winds looked like at the La Ventana campground at 9:45 AM Thanksgiving Day. Note the building white caps. What causes the winds to start out so early and how did the forecast predict this in advance? Well, forecasting strong El Norte winds was easy. This next image shows the…
Baja’s East Cape forecast for La Ventana, Los Barriles and El Sargento: Looking at this amazing 7:15 AM satellite imagery you can see a solid mass of clouds from the subtropical jet stream is over the Sea of Cortez for Mulege to just north of La Paz. The edge of this cloud mass has a…
In Part 1 of this blog, we saw how lingering surface high pressure over the Great Basin kept the El Norte winds blowing for days rather than the typical 2-3 days. In Part 2 we saw how an upper ridge can anchor that surface high pressure in place while increasing its strength. Now Part 3…
In Part 1 of this 3 part blog we saw how lingering high pressure over the Great Basin kept the El Norte winds blowing for days rather than the typical 2-3 days. But the question remains… why did that high pressure linger so long and stay so strong. Part 2 of this blog answers that…
If Matt and my forecasts are right we are in for a long spell of moderate El Norte winds coming down Sea of Cortez from the Great Basin. The 3 part blog looks at the 3 major causes of this event from Nov. 20 to around Nov. 25. Typically El Norte wind events last 2-3…
There is now a Weatherflow Tempest weather station at Rasta Beach about 1 km north of El Sargento. This sensor at hosted by the great folks at Kitesurfing Planet. Be sure to check out all their rental gear and the amazing beach side restaurant. The sensor is at the back of the beach so it…
My forecast yesterday, Tuesday, Nov. 15 was for early winds but with clouds as an issue. Both of those forecasts came true but with a twist. The entire Los Planes Valley was clear mid-day to early afternoon so the winds were a bit stronger than forecast. But the cloud really danced around the valley all…
Today we are seeing a massive 4000-mile-wide North Pacific High repeating last winter’s pattern. On the right margin is the Southern California wind graphs from Ventura to San Diego’s Silver Strand. What caused these strong NW winds clearing winds in November? The first map image shows the North Pacific High which is located in a…