Why good forecasts… go bad by Mike Godsey “I hate it when F**king Godsey promises on Friday night that Saturday morning will see low 20’s at Sherman Island . Worse the forecast has mealy mouth words about deep fog making the AM winds iffy. So today I make the long dawn drive to Sherman only to find the promising predawn 15 knots…
Weird wind pattern for the Bay Area. by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com So I am gearing up for resuming Bay Area forecasting last night by looking at all the models. And looking at the WRAMS I see something impossible. I went to sleep assuming that is was just a bug in the model output and the forecast would return to reality by…
Here is how we coax NW wind into the Bay. by Mike Godsey, It was a day much like today wind wise. There I was 22 years old slowly slogging out the Golden Gate Hawaii bound on a sloop only 2 feet longer than my age. I was totally ignorant about the North Pacific High’s surface NW…
SW marine surge: northern bay blasts, Coyote and 3rd. Ave. suck yet Palo Alto sees decent NW wind. WHY? by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com “Marine Surge Alert” are words loved by those who ply the waters of Treasure Island, Berkeley, Pt. Isabel and foremost Sherman Island since it means strong foggy wind blasting through the Golden Gate….
Forecast since last Tuesday the marine surge keeps its promise. by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com
What’s with the weasel words? Bay Area & Southern California by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com There is a “good chance” of a Bay Area marine surge in the next 24 hours and a chance of atypical wind isn Southern California Friday . Bay Area: Usually I can pinpoint the arrival time more accurately than that and usually I…
Too much of a good thing: when NW and WSW winds fight. by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com Yesterday, April 25, I forecast strong winds at almost every site. However the text for the East Bay had some caveats: Pt. Isabel: “WSW winds ramp up the turn NW and die.” Berkeley: “WSW winds build to upper teens but may fade…
Clearing progressing as expected expected by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com If you looked at the satellite imagery predawn today or even out the window it did not look promising for reliable winds and most of the sky covered with heavy clouds. So when you read in the forecast that I expected a “hole in the clouds” to…
Where were the NW winds yesterday and why are they more likely today by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com I am glad I was not forecasting yesterday April 22. The night before Mark forecast solid NW winds building along the coast. And Ben, Wednesday morning, was going crazy trying to figure out if the SW flow would finally end and if the…
Rough Draft Yea, you read about upper ridges and upper troughs all time in the forecast. Let’s see them in action! by Mike Godsey, mike@iwindsurf.com Check it out! The top image songs gusty winds in the mid 20’s range all day at Sherman Island. And the inset shows the wild gusts on the hilltops around the bay. Now…