by Mike Godsey ikitesurf.com/iwindsurf.com, mikeATiwindsurf.com So, as you all know wind, is created by a pressure gradient from high pressure to a low-pressure zone. Baja is a bit complicated because there is sometimes just a very local pressure gradient between to the inland valleys that makes local very steady thermal winds in the low to weak upper-teens range. And sometimes there is…
by Mike Godsey, iwindsurf.com/ikitesurf.com Weatheflow.com Mail: mikeATwindsurf.com Sunday and especially Monday have wind potential with building high pressure in the Great Basin. However, coaxing the El Norte wind in the middle of the Sea of Cortez and getting the local thermal winds to jump start requires inland heating. And that, in turn, needs lots of sun. Unfortunately, the high clouds look like they will be over…
by Mike Godsey, iwindsurf.com/ikitesurf.com Weatheflow.com Mail: mikeATwindsurf.com This looks like a perfect set up for at least upper-teens wind. But… The first image shows the isobars of a large high pressure in Great Basin extending over the 4 corners and into mainland Mexico. This results in isobars over the Sea of Cortez creating a N. to…
by Mike Godsey, iwindsurf.com/ikitesurf.com Weatheflow.com Mail: mikeATwindsurf.com Below is the clouds associated with the high-speed winds at ≈ 18,000 ft. that were near Baja yesterday. These clouds as well as the low clouds you see in the bottom image took the edge off the winds yesterday and made them up and down at times near shore. Overnight this upper trough has mostly moved…
by Mike Godsey, mikeATiwindsurf.com With low swell already hitting the beaches and UP AND DOWN winds sometimes hitting 18 mph at the campground sensor it is clear that El Norte winds will develop just outside today. But to get those winds to the beach we need a local pressure gradient to the Los Planes…
Poorly positioned high pressure at the surface and an upper trough aloft means mild winds. by Mike Godsey, mail: MikeATiwindsurf.com Looking at the model animation below note that in part one we are seeing the surface winds while in part 2 we are seeing the winds of an upper trough at about 18,000 ft. The surface animation shows there is…
by Mike Godsey You know the routine. First one to two day of strong El Norte winds. Then 1 or 2 days of mild El Norte + mild local sea breezes. So today you would expect at least upper-teens northerly wind. But…..no. Why, let’s examine the images below. First look at the surface isobars for yesterday. Note the high pressure in the Great Basin and how…
by Mike Godsey, Mike AT iwindsurf.com The model output below from yesterday and today show 3 critical differences: 1. The high pressure is weaker today and evidenced by the greater distance between the isobars. 2. Today the high pressure has centered further north of the ideal location near the 4 corners. 3. And you can see below…
Baja Forecast and Guide Links: Home | Daily Human Forecast | Why Baja blows | Feedback: Baja forecast | | Road Rules | Driving Down | Where to go. | | Food & Water | Camping| Resorts | Money, insurance, pets | Hurricane Diary | Windless days | East Cape driving maps | Fish/Surf | Baja photos | Most of the eastern Pacific hurricanes run up the coast of mainland Mexico then turn into the Pacific without impacting Baja. But as the imagery below shows some do…
Daily Human Forecast Home | Why Baja blows | Feedback: Baja forecast | | Road Rules | Driving Down | Where to go. | | Food & Water | Camping| Resorts | Money, insurance, pets | Hurricane Diary | Windless days | East Cape driving maps | Fish/Surf | Baja photos | Forecasting for Baja’s East Cape is hard. Many of the tools we take for granted in the USA are not available. And unlike the USA where we have lots of sensors at major…