By WeatherFlow Forecaster



 Synoptic Setup 5/4/14

  • High pressure centered over the northern Gulf of Mexico.
  • Cold front departing well offshore.
  • Synoptic gradient flow is fairly zonal W/WNW.
  • Air in place over the region is unseasonably dry.
  • Strong surface heating produced 90F temps inland.


Observations at fort sumter

Screen Shot 2014-05-20 at 2.00.02 PM

Classic afternoon reversal of synoptic offshore flow was correctly by forecasted by mesoscale models but underdone in the afternoon.


Next Day May 5th Prefrontal WNW’rlys???


Screen Shot 2014-05-05 at 1.51.51 PM

May 5th synoptic setup


  • High pressure still centered in northern GOM.
  • Frontal boundary has sagged to NC/SC border.
  • Synoptic gradient bent more WNW/NW.
  • Diurnal drifting of frontal boundary N to S.

–      NE/ENE flow behind the frontal boundary

–      Unusual W/WNW flow ahead of the boundary


Obsevations at folly pier

Screen Shot 2014-05-22 at 10.40.03 AM


Regional Observations 5/5


Screen Shot 2014-05-05 at 1.52.22 PM

Pretty clear to see where the front lies eh???

  • Interesting because you would typically expect S/SW flow ahead of a Cold front but that only happened after 2pm.
  • Waters and land surfaces warming significantly making strong CAA less efficient along coastal regions.
  • Water doesn’t cool much over night so NE surge can be sapped of its Cold and dry characteristics coming down the coast.


  • Meandering frontal boundaries become more common during the summer months

–      Movement of E-W oriented fronts often diurnally driven

–      Convectively driven movement also relatively common


Some SST stuff that’s Neato 5/13

Screen Shot 2014-05-12 at 2.40.32 PM

Cloud Contamination Can Still Be Useful- Note that even though there is no data running NE-SW offshore of the sow pen and deli ledge this is actually a differential heating boundary which produced cumulus clouds that denotes the hard gulf stream edge.

Imagery courtesy of Hiltons Offshore Imagery

Screen Shot 2014-05-22 at 11.22.37 AM

Roffs Analysis 5/13

Currents and SSTs are tracked over areas to hone in on areas likely to congregate bait and therefore gamefish.