I just had to capture this image. It’s always a mystery on these summer days on the OBX where that pest of a frontal line is going to be and today was no exception. Just checked the Visible Satellite and… Aha! Thanks to our Data Viewer that allows the obs…
Model to model consistency is often something we use to measure confidence in a specific feature. Sometimes it works… and sometimes it doesn’t… like today. In today’s forecast I should have stuck with my original hunches from last night with a late day SW surge for the North Coast of MA, however this…
The trough overhead, that can tend to cause wind suppressing complications, is currently in play this morning and I have drawn it’s likely position on top of our current wind observations. Notice that sites N of Kite Island are tending to be westerly and those to the S of Kite Island are tending to be…
Click on the movie link below for a voice guided movie of the Golden Gate Gaviota eddy dying early so you can see in the marine layer clouds why Waddell and Coyote and 3rd. Ave. had better winds than forecast. ggEddyDIes2
Every time I check on our forecasts over this last month the Outer Banks have been going off. This is not what I’ve been used to seeing these last few years and reminds me of the “good old days” when we used to see day after day after day of strong south and SW…
Doing today’s forecast, we favored Sandy Hook due to clearing over NYC and the potential for a sea breeze draw. I just had to capture this image though because there is a sensor on the USCG station at the end of Sandy Hook and several other government and “other” sensors in the area but none…
This blog is meant to highlight a scenario where a early AM land breeze was not forecasted by the majority of model guidance nor by the human forecaster. We will examine the synoptic and mesoscale features for the area, during the period leading up to the land breeze event in order to determine if there…
This snapshot of wind observations combined with a radar image of storms moving through NJ from W to E is a good example of a gust front / outflow boundary increasing our wind speeds out ahead of approaching storms. A gust front / outflow boundary is simply a storm scale mass of cold / cool…
What a tough call today for the MA North coast. We had a prevailing WNW flow much of the day and no model really showed consistency on the amount of flow aloft. Our questions in these kinds of days are along the lines of how deep will the mixing occur to keep the NW…