By WeatherFlow meteorologist Shea Gibson on 8/30/2020
We have certainly see quite a bit of activity in the month of June, including a US landfall over western Lousiana by a major CAT 4 Hurricane Laura on Thursday, August 27, 2020. Many records have been broken this year with getting to early names in the alphabet earlier than ever before. We know that the peak of the hurricane season in the Atlantic basin is historically right around September 10th every year. This is based on 100 years of records even though HurrDAT records go back to the late 1800’s and have improved over time. The idea is that when we get to 200 years of reliable data, we’ll have another set to use. The reason is because records are more accurate for historicals based on longer periods by nature. If we did this by every 10 or even every 50 years, we would see such erratic shifts and changes that we wouldn’t have a good general base for long range deterministic and probabilistic outputs. Hence the longer period.
With that said….here is where we are right now as of 8/30/2020.
And currently in the Atlantic basin, we have four areas of disturbance being monitored, with one a home grown system right off the Carolina coast that luckily will stay out over the ocean of it forms.
Here is Disturbance #1 as discussed above in the NHC report, a/k/a “Invest99L”:
And here is Disturbance #2, a/k/a “Invest 90L”:
Next names on the list are Nana and Omar. Not even September yet and we are at “N” for the next name!
Hope we do not get through the alphabet and into the Greek letters! But just in case we do, here is how it would look for naming.
Stay safe and have your hurricane plans ready to execute! Remember if you live along the coast, it is not a matter of IF, it’s WHEN.
Shea Gibson
WeatherFlow Meteorologist/Wind Forecaster
SE Region / East Coast / Tropics
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Twitter: @WeatherFlowCHAS
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Sources:
NHC: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames_history.shtml
Tropical Tidbits (by Levi Cowan): https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/